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  • rogerglewis 1:02 pm on November 24, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Overlooked and Unelected. A poem for the unappreciated. 

    Overlooked and unelected.
    Neil Mc Alister.
    When I was nine
    a lickspittle Beckenbauer
    Dreams of footie triumph were mine
    commander of the middle of the field
    creator of the long through ball
    behind the front three tasked to sweep
    On team selection Day unselected
    my best friend was listed Star centre-forward
    I went home to weep
    I still Loved my friend and wanted my team-mates to triumph
    I mourned my own loss but still cheered on and longed for my chance.
    Richard Green.
    When I was 12 and in Big School
    a team of 11 became 15 and the ball
    was a different shape. I was on the team
    I found my Game and dreamt of leadership
    The team elected its new captain there.
    I was not their elected leader my best friend was
    I voted for my best friend he voted for me
    I loved my friend and served as his lieutenant
    it was still hard to swallow but I didn´t cry.
    Radley College.
    We made the County Finals several years later
    We were soundly beaten in the semis
    Radley College against our comprehensive
    Motely Crew. Killed in the first half
    Learned quickly and held a draw for the second half
    The school turned out to see our brave defeat
    We attended the final and Radley won, we were their biggest
    heartiest and fiercest cheerleaders,
    they were the better side , for the first half at least, and we learned a lot from them.
    We celebrated their success, but looked forward to our next meeting.
    Ashley Drake.& AdamTickell
    There was a general Knowledge Competition
    5th year All hormones and teenaged insecurities
    I didn´t enter and Adam still carried that condom
    held it hoping to light a the candle he carried for Gillian Jacobs.
    Ashley Won , Subject Welsh Rugby History.You had to be in it to win it I reasoned.
    Adam and Ashley two intellectuals , friends at school
    Tony Gawe didn´t go to Upper Sixth his family needed him to get a job.
    Nicola Evans
    We moved away, West Germany Dusseldorf Dragons
    Reading Cider with rosy because I had a strange accent that amused
    Mr Harris head of sixth form. Nicola who I married, Thought
    I was the best actor she’d heard, and a Rugby Jock to boot.
    I was just being Authentic, Farmer boy, son of the soil.
    John Brunskil and Tiffany Wood, Me and Nicola
    Copping off behind the Gym Curtain for extra curricular fumblings
    Nicki and I are Now divorced but bound back to Displaced times
    apart but not estranged.Different times different lives
    Human Ships of Theseus.
    ABC, Tom and commander Billingham
    Abc now in the Philippines, His old best friend died young
    on a bike, Andrew as he said he would packed his ashes into a firework
    and let him off over the sea in Phucket, thats what he wanted.
    ABC was there for me when I needed him too.
    Tom was at the bank that repossessed my house
    he found it as difficult to understand as I did, we are still friends
    Commander Joseph Billingham, a mentor and a confidante,
    His father didn’t care much for money either, just like me.
    Still packed him of to Ampleforth aged three.
    It was his mothers idea? According to Joseph
    The Band of Vikings.
    Rhiannon my daughter, isn´t sure about Donald Trump,
    Rasmus my son thinks he´s funny on Annoying orange.
    Rhiannon assures me they do ADHT better in Sweden
    and maybe that´s why Rasmus sometimes misbehaves.
    They both say I´m the best dad in the world ,
    of course I try to live up to the billing,
    I could never hope to rise any higher than that.

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  • rogerglewis 12:27 pm on November 24, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Exerpt from The Conquest of Dough. by Roger G Lewis 

     
  • rogerglewis 9:27 am on November 22, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Is Brexit a Lifeboat or a Deckchair? 

    Is Brexit a Lifeboat or a Deckchair?



    The World Economy is in trouble, it is based upon an exponential growth in Debt. The EU is unable to cope with this reality, The UK is unable to cope with this reality, The USA , Japan, Russia, China etc and so forth. In or out the UK face the same problems that everyone else does. The EURO is not serving the EU well and will continue to strangle the so Called PIIGS, The periphery of Europe is suffocating when the oxygen of net interest flows to the centre, Largely to Germany, this can not be sustained indefinitely, indeed the system is kept on life support by QE.

    The Tories are of course doing more QE for Stirling, this would be happening Brexit vote or no Brexit vote.

    The BRICS are trying to get an alternative international trade settlements system in place, Debt based banking works with double entry book keeping, Central banks effectively keep the centralised accounts.The BRICS effectively want new auditors and new auditing rules.


    What the amusing piece linked to fails to state is that Remainers also have no answers as NO ANSWERS ARE ENTERTAINED by the debt based highly centralised , highly monopolised means of money creation.


    Take this quiz to begin to comprehend what is only the beginning of the point I am making.

    http://snack.to/q7pm0txb .


    ´´The Titanic is going down. Remainers are re arranging deck chairs whilst the Leavers are in denial of the inadequate provision of life boats.´´


    So in short THE TITANIC is sinking. Political Economy needs root and branch reform both in the EU and In The UK within the Washington Consensus and across the whole world, Globalism has failed! Do we see the EU changing its position no!
    Will trump break the Mould? Theresa May , Hammond Will they? The Jury is out.



     
  • rogerglewis 4:10 pm on November 21, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Climate Change .AGW and all points from Activism to Skepticism. 

    I have produced this PDF of notes as preparation for making a children’s book to help my children understand science and the scientific method.

    Some of my recent posts here on this blog have been responses to what I sensed as a sort of guilt by association people felt if in the presence of a ´´Denier´, that suspected denier being yours truly.
     The Mc Carthyism aspects and the ad hominem discourse on this important question have been troubling  me for some time. Scepticism does not change the truth of any proposition, Scepticism is an important ingredient in the scientific method. The 97% consensus regarding ´Climate Science´, the part of the ´Science ´which is purported to be ´Settled´are really all rather vague and ill-defined terms which I find a little confusing. On Scepticism when asked 10 out of 10 scientists would confirm that they prefer it.

    So in the spirit of having nothing to fear but fear itself and hopefully to give, Activists and Deniers
    alike a rest from the usual debunking industry fare: here, is my best shot at a balanced collection of what I have found to be informative and thought provoking material. I quote extensively from the IPCC. The reports are actually rather more measured than the summaries for the policy makers and press. The parts from the scientific community are evidence that scientific scepticism is alive and well. You can take the Scepticism out of the Scientism , But you can not take the Sceptic out of the scientist. 

     
  • rogerglewis 2:45 pm on November 18, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Perplexity, Divergent Problems, Philisophical loose ends. 

    Frustrated by the polarisation of both Public , Popular , Scientific and Professional Discourse I have been seeking out some guidance from two old Sensai, or guides, Maimonides and E F Schumacher, there are others. I am particularly fond of re consulting Bateson’s, an ecology of mind in times of frustrated perplexity, when people I know to be caring , intelligent and respectful people simply talk past, at, and in ignorance of the same qualities they possess,  being present in the object of what can only be called their fury.

    I hope these references might also assist other readers who occasionally wash up on these shores, to find patience and understanding in their own as well as with other people’s tempers.
    Always read the comments, as Maimonides says a golden apple may be wrapped in Siver filigree.

    This popped up on my facebook memories feed, all very synchronicity.
    Roger Lewis
    Having a good read of this Wiki lots of very good information to go through, The site is compiled it seems by a gentleman of the cloth who believes in the Gospels of Jesus, this is a long and worthy tradition in Liberation Theology . I was reading the other day about Christian Anarchism and the manifold seeming contradictions, an aversion to contradiction is in my own experience an over rated pass time. Context and motivation will provide the ‘boundary conditions of any truth claim, ´´Games Without frontiers war without tears”. Herd Processing
    “The American motion picture is the greatest unconscious carrier of propaganda in the world today. It is a great distributor for ideas and opinions. The motion picture can standardize the ideas and habits of a nation. Because pictures are made to meet market demands, they reflect, emphasize and even exaggerate broad popular tendencies, rather than stimulate new ideas and opinions. The motion picture avails itself only of ideas and facts which are in vogue. As the newspaper seeks to purvey news, it seeks to purvey entertainment.”– Edward Bernays, Propaganda
    Herd Processing (standardisation)
    The merger of media companies in the last decades generated a small oligarchy of media conglomerates. The TV shows we follow, the music we listen to, the movies we watch and the newspapers we read are all produced by FIVE corporations. The owners of those conglomerates have close ties with the world’s elite and, in many ways, they ARE the elite. By owning all of the possible outlets having the potential to reach the masses, these conglomerates have the power to create in the minds of the people a single and cohesive world view, engendering a “standardization of human thought”. [12]
    Even movements or styles that are considered marginal are, in fact, extensions of mainstream thinking. Mass medias produce their own rebels who definitely look the part but are still part of the establishment and do not question any of it. Artists, creations and ideas that do not fit the mainstream way of thinking are mercilessly rejected and forgotten by the conglomerates, which in turn makes them virtually disappear from society itself. However, ideas that are deemed to be valid and desirable to be accepted by society are skillfully marketed to the masses in order to make them become self-evident norm. In 1928, Edward Bernays already saw the immense potential of motion pictures to standardize thought
    Also see: Consumerism

    http://www.thebabylonmatrix.com/index.php?title=911%3ATavistock_Formula


    E. F SCHUMACHER
    A Guide for the
    Perplexed
    PERENNIAL LIBRARY
    Harper & Row, Publishers
    New York, Hagerstown, s􀀧n Francisco, London
    Nulla est homini causa philosophandi,
    nisi ut beatus sit.
    (Man has no reason to philosophize,
    except with a view to happiness.)
    SAINT AUGUSTINE
    T H E F O U R F I E L D S OF K N O W L E D G E: 1 63
    Socrates (in Plato’s Phaedrus) says: “I must first know myself,
    as the Delphian inscription says; to be- curious about that which
    is not my concern, while I am still in ignorance of my own self,
    would be ridiculous.” Let us follow this example and start with
    Field of Knowledge No. 1: What, really, is going on inside
    myself? What gives me joy, what gives me pain? What strengthens
    me and what weakens me? Where do I control life and
    where does life control me? Am I in control of my mind, my
    feelings, can I do what I want to do? What is the value of this
    inner knowledge for the conduct of my life?
    Before we go into any details we should take cognizance of
    the fact that the above-quoted statement from Plato’s Phaedrus
    can be matched by similar statements from all parts of the.
    64 A G U I D E F O R T H E P E R P L E X E D
    world an d all times. I shall confine myself to a few:
    From Alexandria, Philo Judaeus (late 6.rst century B.C.):
    For pray do not . . . spin your airy fables about moon or sun or
    the other objects in the sky and in the universe so far removed
    from us and so varied in their natures, until you have scrutinised
    and come to know yourselves. After that, we may perhaps believe
    you when you hold forth on other subjects; but before you
    establish who you yourselves are, do not think that you will ever
    become capable of acting as judges or trustworthy witnesses in
    the other matters.
    From ancient Rome, Plotinus (A.D. 205?-270):
    Withdraw into yourself and look. And if you do not Snd yourself
    beautiful yet, act as does the creator of a statue 􀃈hat is to be made
    beautiful; he cuts away here, he smoothes there, he makes this line
    lighter, this other purer, until a lovely face has grown upon his work.
    So do you also: . . . never cease chiseling your statue.·
    From medieval Europe, the Theologia Germanica (ca. A.D.
    1350):
    Thoroughly to know oneself, is above all art, for it is the highest
    art. If thou knowest thyself well, thou art better and more praiseworthy
    before God, than if thou didst not know thyself, but didst
    understand the course of the heavens and of all the planets and stars,
    also the virtue of all herbs, and the structure and dispositions of all
    mankind, also the nature of all beasts, and, in such matters, hadst all
    the skill of all who are in heaven and on earth.
    Paracelsus (1493?-1541), who was one of the most knowledgeable
    men in the Europe of his time and foremost in knowing
    “the virtue of all herbs,” says:
    Men do not know themselves, and therefore they do not understand
    the things of their inner world. Each man has the essence of
    God and all the wisdom and power of the world (germinally) in
    himself; he possesses one kind of knowledge as much as another, and
    he who does not find that which is in him cannot truly say that he
    does not possess it, but only that he was not capable of successfully
    seeking for it.
    T H E F O U R F I E L D S O F K N O W L E DG E: 65
    From India, Swami Ramdas (1886-1 963):
    “Seek within-know thyself,” these secret and sublime hints
    come to us wafted from the breath of Rishis through the dust of ages.
    From the world of Islam, Azid ibn Muhammad al-Nasafi (seventh-
    eighth centuries):
    When ‘Ali asked Mohammad, “What am I to do that I may not
    waste my time?” the Prophet answered, “Lea,rn to know thyself.”
    And from China, the Tao Te Ching by Lao-tse (c. 604-531 B.c.):
    He who knows others is wise;
    He who knows himself is enlightened. ‘
    Finally, let us listen to a twentieth-century writer, P. D. Ouspensky
    (1878–1947), who states as his “fundamental idea”:
    that man as we know him is not a completed being; that nature
    develops him only up to a certain point and then leaves him, either
    to develop further, by his own efforts and devices, or to live and die
    such as he was born, or to degenerate and lose capacity for development.
    Evolution of man . . . will mean the development of certain inner
    qualities and features which usually remain undeveloped, and amnot
    develop by themselves. •
    The modern world knows little of all this, even though it has
    produced more psychological theories and literature than any
    previous age. As Ouspensky says: “Psychology is sometimes
    called a new science. This is quite wrong. Psychology is, perhaps,
    the oldest science, and, unfortunately, in its most essential
    features a forgotten science. ” These “most essential features”
    presented themselves primarily in religious teachings, and their
    disappearance is accounted for largely by the decline of religion
    during the last few centuries.
    Traditional psychology, which saw people as “pilgrims” and
    “wayfarers” on this earth who could reach the summit of a
    mountain of “salvation,” “enlightenment,” or “liberation,” was
    primarily concerned not with sick people who had to be made
    “normal” but with normal people who were capable of becom
    66 A G U I D E F O R T H E P E R P L E X E D
    ing, and indeed destined to become, supernormal. Many of the
    great traditions have the idea of “The Way” at their very center:
    the Chinese teaching of Taoism is nained after Tao, “The
    Way”; the Buddha’s teaching is called “The Middle Way”; and
    Jesus Christ Himself declares: “I am the Way.” It is the pilgrim’s
    task to undertake a journey into the interior which demands a
    degree of heroism and in any case a readiness occasionally to
    turn one’s back on the petty preoccupations of everyday life.
    10
    Two Types of Problems
    124 A G U I D E F O R T H E P E R P L E X E D
    I do not know who coined the slogan of the French Revolution•;
    he must have been a person of rare insight. To the pair
    of opposites, Liberte and Egalite, irreconcilable in ordinary
    logic, he added a third factor or force-Fraternite, brotherliness-
    which comes from a higher level. How do we recognize
    this fact? Liberty or equality can be instituted by legislative
    action backed by force, but brotherliness is a human quality
    beyond the reach of institutions, beyond the level of manipulation.
    It can be achieved only by individual persons mobilizing
    their own higher forces and facull:ies, in short, becoming better
    people. “How do you make people become better?” That this
    is a question constantly being asked merely shows that the essential
    point is being missed altogether. Making people better
    belongs to the level of manipulation, the same level at which
    the opposites exist and where their reconciliation is impossible.
    The moment we recognize that there are two different types
    of problems with which we have to deal on our journey through
    life-“convergent” and “divergent” problems-some very interesting
    questions arise in our minds:
    Some people say it was Louis-Claude de Saint-Martin (1743-1803) who
    signed his works Le Philosophe inconnu, the Unknown Philosopher.
    Torrent for this amazing Book can be found here I also highly recommend Small is Beautiful.
    Guide for the Perplexed, by Moses Maimonides, Friedlander tr. [1904], at sacredtexts.com THE GUIDE FOR THE PERPLEXED BY MOSES MAIMONIDES TRANSLATED FROM THE ORIGINAL ARABIC TEXT BY M. FRIEDLANDER, PHD SECOND EDITION REVISED THROUGHOUT London: Routledge & Kegan Paul Ltd. [1904]

    Introductory Remarks. [ON METHOD] THERE are seven causes of inconsistencies and contradictions to be met with in a literary work. The first cause arises from the fact that the author collects the opinions of various men, each differing from the other, but neglects to mention the name of the author of any particular opinion. In such a work contradictions or inconsistencies must occur, since any two statements may belong to two different authors. Second cause: The author holds at first one opinion which he subsequently rejects: in his work., however, both his original and altered views are retained. Third cause: The passages in question are not all to be taken literally: some only are to be understood in their literal – 29 – sense, while in others figurative language is employed, which includes another meaning besides the literal one: or, in the apparently inconsistent passages, figurative language is employed which, if taken literally, would seem to be contradictories or contraries. Fourth cause: The premises are not identical in both statements, but for certain reasons they are not fully stated in these passages: or two propositions with different subjects which are expressed by the same term without having the difference in meaning pointed out, occur in two passages. The contradiction is therefore only apparent, but there is no contradiction in reality. The fifth cause is traceable to the use of a certain method adopted in teaching and expounding profound problems. Namely, a difficult and obscure theorem must sometimes be mentioned and assumed as known, for the illustration of some elementary and intelligible subject which must be taught beforehand the commencement being always made with the easier thing. The teacher must therefore facilitate, in any manner which he can devise, the explanation of those theorems, which have to be assumed as known, and he must content himself with giving a general though somewhat inaccurate notion on the subject. It is, for the present, explained according to the capacity of the students, that they may comprehend it as far as they are required to understand the subject. Later on, the same subject is thoroughly treated and fully developed in its right place. Sixth cause: The contradiction is not apparent, and only becomes evident through a series of premises. The larger the number of premises necessary to prove the contradiction between the two conclusions, the greater is the chance that it will escape detection, and that the author will not perceive his own inconsistency. Only when from each conclusion, by means of suitable premises, an inference is made, and from the enunciation thus inferred, by means of proper arguments, other conclusions are formed, and after that process has been repeated many times, then it becomes clear that the original conclusions are contradictories or contraries. Even able writers are liable to overlook such inconsistencies. If, however, the contradiction between the original statements can at once be discovered, and the author, while writing the second, does not think of the first, he evinces a greater deficiency, and his words deserve no notice whatever. Seventh cause: It is sometimes necessary to introduce such metaphysical matter as may partly be disclosed, but must partly be concealed: while, therefore, on one occasion the object which the author has in view may demand that the metaphysical problem be treated as solved in one way, it may be convenient on another occasion to treat it as solved in the opposite way. The author must endeavour, by concealing the fact as much as possible, to prevent the uneducated reader from perceiving the contradiction.
     
  • rogerglewis 4:48 am on November 18, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Re-framing the War on Carbon. The Carbon Surplus Question? 

    On Global Warming and the War on Carbon , or what I would re-frame as the Carbon Surplus Problem.

    The Carbon Surplus Problem is a subject I am just writing a kids book about for helping my Children understand the Carbon Cycle. I will enumerate a framework of reference for the re-framing of the Carbon Surplus problem as an alternative to the War on Carbon position presently in vogue, (surprisingly, to me, also in Green Circles). Those framework headings are Scientific, Political, Economic & stakeholder representation.

    Scientific

    Scientific questions should be the easiest to broach as science is objective, one could not argue with that proposition surely? Sadly, the human relationships aspects of science turn out to be as fraught with status based psychology as any other field of human endeavour, cognisant of this I would recommend this excellent slide collection from Anand Gnanadesikan.



    There is a pedagogical deficit in public education on Climate evidenced by ignorance of the Carbon Cycle, this is hampering debate on solutions such as those proposed by Tony Lovell in the soil carbon video (At the end of this post). Partial solutions are often attacked vigorously as a climate (no pun intended) of ad hominem dominates responses to anything not fitting the bag of nails demanded of the War on Carbon, ´´CO2 as pollution´´, hammer.

    http://zverovich.net/slides/2013-10-08-informs/ManWithHammer.pnghttp://zverovich.net/slides/2013-10-08-informs/ManWithHammer.png
    Political.

    Corporate capture of highly centralised government structures and the Government tendency to look for shiny photo op type solutions crowds out the incremental and sustainable holistic solutions which seem to be viable and easily mobilised. Husbandry of the problem as opposed to the undeclared War on Carbon. The Wars on Drugs, Wars on Terrorism , are analogues to the climate that politicians have fostered vis anthropogenic CO2 emissions, sadly this style of Government is synchronous with the identification and onset of the problem of raised CO2 levels. I will not graph a correlation of this hypothesis, as we know correlation is not a reliable proof of causation.




    Economic

    Economic aspects of the problem are as fraught with the problem of the Law of the instrument
    as political responses. Economics and finance as practised in Financialised Capitalism will of course seek to apply its own false metrics of monetary price measures. These measures are not consistent with value or utility concepts. The Money measure of utility is bound in artificial scarcity of the measure, ignorant of the availability of resources to allocate. Economists and Bankers were a large component of the fourth UK carbon budget report,


    If ever one needed confirmation that cap and trade is the financial hammer seeing all Carbon as an anthropogenic CO2 nail that simply must be monetised , this document should do it.



    Stakeholder perspectives.

    With respect to Stake-holders, I would like to speak up for the poor and those without a voice to speak for the Landless Peasants and the continuing ravaging of self-provisioning local economies by Global demands for monoculture cash crop and debt based economic solutions. These stake-holders are as important as any of us and their voices are unrepresented it is also true that the skills and smaller scale permaculture and local vernacular specific methods are an untapped resource in utilising the surplus of CO2 currently seen as a problem and not a misapplied surplus resource.

    Discourse and Selection Biases.


    Ad hominem and appeals to consensus or Authority typifies even Green Party discourse on these issues. Ecological solutions will best solve ecological problems by ignoring the carbon cycle and submitting to an emissions centric financialised narrative the discourse obscures potential holistic solutions to a very natural problem ( of course human emissions are man made but the emissions are natural chemical compounds extracted from natural matter). This talking past and at one another generates much more heat than light and will all end in tears.


    I have also been working on a more detailed but focused structured position argument with full references which is likely to take a few more weeks to complete. The occasional guffaw or cry of anguish will continue to emit from under my little rock here in Rural Sweden in the mean-time , I will try to muffle the volume but can not possibly hold it all in.
    Two very good short videos on Carbon Cycling.
    Soil carbon — Putting carbon back where it belongs — In the Earth | Tony Lovell | TEDxDubbo

    Tony Lovell will explain the reasoning behind how more green growing plants means more captured carbon dioxide — more water — more production — more biodiversity — more profit. Did you know that a 1% change in soil organic matter across just one-quarter of the World’s land area could sequester 300 billion tonnes of physical CO2.

    TEDxDubbo focused attention on what we call FACETS — Food, Agriculture, Climate, Energy, Topsoil and Sustainability. These FACETS are actually potent ideas shared by everyday people with an interest in these disciplines. In many of these topics there is an awareness campaign; the aim of bringing our community together united against catastrophic failures in our food-chain, environment and health. It is worth mentioning that we are also indebted to our natural systems for our economic wealth. Failures in Food, Agriculture, Climate, Energy, Topsoil and Sustainability are not just a local issue — they are a global concern. http://tedxdubbo.com/


    Carbon Cycle, part 1


    Creating a future that works

    Carbon Cycle, part 1

    About Peter Donovan.  has hands-on experience with land and stock management, low-stress stock handling, Holistic Management, community development, consensus-building, and more. He also does freelance media work; see his resume and portfolio. He completed Holistic Management International’s Holistic Management Educator course in 1997, but chose not to pursue certification. He was instrumental in bringing Enterprise Facilitation to Wallowa County in eastern Oregon, U.S.A., where he lives.
    Joy Livingwell enjoys simplifying and clarifying regenerative land management so that ordinary people can understand it. She writes on a variety of topics, including ecology and sustainable agriculture. She co-authored How to Build With Grid Beam: A fast, easy, and affordable system for building almost anything (New Society Publishers, 2008).
     
  • rogerglewis 12:13 pm on November 11, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Trumping the elites 

    Judith Curry a brave sane voice.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pdm9dWK-khE

    Climate Etc.

    by Judith Curry

    A key message of this election is that the power of elites to persuade us has evaporated.

    View original post 733 more words

     
  • rogerglewis 8:47 am on November 11, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    On Climate heresies, Witchhunts and Civil Discourse.Donald Trumps Climate Beliefs?#MAGA Make science Great again. 

    On Climate heresies, Witchhunts and Civil Discourse.



     “A fire, a fire is burning! I hear the boot of Lucifer, I see his filthy face! And it is my face, and yours, Danforth! For them that quail to bring men out of ignorance, as I have quailed, and as you quail now when you know in all your black hearts that this be fraud – God damns our kind especially, and we will burn, we will burn together!”
    ― Arthur Miller, The Crucible





    Ashley Drake added 2 new photos.
    23 hrs · 

    Yn anffodus, mae America ‘di dewis Opsiwn 2
    Looks like America prefers Option 2
    Unfortunately, America’s choice option 2
    Looks like America prefers Option 2

    Like

    Comment

    17 Comments
    Comments
    Dafydd Ap Owain Hughes
    Dafydd Ap Owain Hughes Dwi jyst yn ddweud wrtha fy hyn “dim on pedair flynedd, ddim on pedair flynedd….”

    I’m just in my say wrtha this ” only four years, not on four years….”

    Automatically Translated

    Ashley Drake
    Ashley Drake Roger – Are you dening that Climate Change exists or that it is happening as a result of human activity?

    Roger Lewis
    Roger Lewis Ashley Climate change is very real it always has been, it may even have something to do with human activity but CO2 has not been shown to be the smoking gun and remains a theory , I am saying that the CO2 Hypothesis remains a hypothesis and is not supported by the Empirical data, the models have been falsified. My argument is that as an environmentalist a lot of empirical data supports an evidence-based argument to concentrate on stopping fracking and even leaving fossil fuels in the ground on environmental health arguments, not Anthropogenic CO2 arguments. Caroline Lucas (Leader of Green Party) criticised Donald Trumps Climate Beliefs, my argument and distaste for that sort of language is that it is emotional and not scientific. I also make the point that Climate science discourse is politicised outside of the usual cut and thrust of academic jealousy and Ad Hominem became the default position in the late 90’s peaking around 2006. Have you read Svensmark’s or Salby´s work or have you heard of Claes Johnson or The Late Dr Bob Carter, do you know who Freeman Dyson is or have you ver listened to a Piers Corbyn Lecture? I read something that Benjamin franklin wrote about money the other day it applies equally well to ‘Climate beliefs´ In 1729 Benjamin Franklin wrote a pamphlet ´´A modest Enquiry into the nature and the necessity of a paper Currency.”

    a modest enquiry,
    ”There is no Science, the Study of which is more useful and commendable than the Knowledge of the true Interest of one’s Country; and perhaps there is no Kind of Learning more abstruse and intricate, more difficult to acquire in any Degree of Perfection than This, and therefore none more generally neglected. Hence it is, that we every Day find Men in Conversation contending warmly on some Point in Politicks, which, altho’ it may nearly concern them both, neither of them understand any more than they do each other.
    Thus much by way of Apology for this present Enquiry into the Nature and Necessity of a Paper Currency. And if any Thing I shall say, may be a Means of fixing a Subject that is now the chief Concern of my Countrymen, in a clearer Light, I shall have the Satisfaction of thinking my Time and Pains well employed.
    To proceed, then,
    There is a certain proportionate Quantity of Money requisite to carry on the Trade of a Country freely and currently; More than which would be of no Advantage in Trade, and Less, if much less, exceedingly detrimental to it.
    This leads us to the following general Considerations.”
    http://founders.archives.gov/docum…/Franklin/01-01-02-0041
    http://letthemconfectsweeterlies.blogspot.se/…/the&#8230;

    Ashley Drake
    Ashley Drake You reject that Climate Change is caused by human activity yet produce no scientific evidence to support that hypothesis and suggest that the evidence thus produced by almost 100% of recognised scientists is clouded by neo-liberal political ideology. Sorry Roger but that looks deluded to me. Your hatred of neo-liberalism is clouding your outlook on the key issue facing the world.

    Roger Lewis
    Roger Lewis Ashley, Svensmarks work I cited, Salbys work I cited , I asked if you knew who they were, Piers Corbyns Work I cited and Freeman Dyson , also Claes Johnsons work. Your Reply makes the point I am making for me. Do yoiu know the band widths at which CO2absorbs and emits solar radiation and how this is highly cogent to the black box radiation question. I am more than happy to go as deeply into this you have Time for Ashley it has nothing to do with neo liberalism or hatred. I have drunk deeply of the scientific literature and find myself on the side of an alledged Minority. I am talking about science Ashley and not about politics. Have you ever watched this film Cool it?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oXXNGjeNQTo it is well worth watching and provides a context which does not question the co2 hypothesis but suggests adaptation and prioritisation rather than Alarm as a sensible approach.

    Roger Lewis

    Write a reply…



    Paul Sambrook
    Paul Sambrook I could probably find a video by a scientist who claims to be in contact with Venusians. Wouldn’t make it right. We’ve long passed scientific acceptance of human agency causing climate change. We’ve also long passed understanding that we have to reduce CO2 emissions. All these guys should be wearing their corporate sponsorship logos on their suits…

    Roger Lewis
    Roger Lewis That is not a scientific argument it is ad hominem, please let me see your scientific arguments I have an open mind.

    Roger Lewis

    Write a reply…



    Roger Lewis
    Roger Lewis This is the best single source of a full discussion on Climate science. It is supportive of the CO2 hypothesis and well worth reading. I have read every single word and gone to the sources in many cases, I remain with Claes Johnson a Skeptic. https://scienceofdoom.com/…/american-thinker-the…/

    Roger Lewis
    Roger Lewis http://www.false-alarm.net/

    This site  gives you free access to my scientific articles dealing with the rate and extent of removal of…
    FALSE-ALARM.NET

    Roger Lewis
    Roger Lewis https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Willie_Soon The great Climate denier witchhunt a very good proxy are talk sections in Wikipedia

    > >Variable solar irradiance as a plausible agent for multidecadal >variations in the Arctic-wide surface air temperature record >of the past 130 years > “This scientific research was supported by generous grants from the Charles G. Koch Charitable Foundation, American Petroleum Institute, and Exxon…
    EN.WIKIPEDIA.ORG

    Roger Lewis
    Roger Lewis https://en.wikipedia.org/…/Requests/Case/Climate_change&#8230;Witchfinder general here

    Main case page (Talk) — Evidence (Talk) — Workshop (Talk) — Proposed decision (Talk) — General discussion (Talk)
    EN.WIKIPEDIA.ORG

    Roger Lewis
    Roger Lewis “A fire, a fire is burning! I hear the boot of Lucifer, I see his filthy face! And it is my face, and yours, Danforth! For them that quail to bring men out of ignorance, as I have quailed, and as you quail now when you know in all your black hearts that this be fraud – God damns our kind especially, and we will burn, we will burn together!”
    ― Arthur Miller, The Crucible
     
    • Roger Lewis 9:26 am on November 11, 2016 Permalink | Reply

      CLimate Faith.“A fire, a fire is burning! I hear the boot of Lucifer, I see his filthy face! And it is my face, and yours, Danforth! For them that quail to bring men out of ignorance, as I have quailed, and as you quail now when you know in all your black hearts that this be fraud – God damns our kind especially, and we will burn, we will burn together!” 

  • rogerglewis 3:17 pm on November 10, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Our only debt is to Nature and ‘What Is’. Environmental Pragmatism, Live and let live. 

    Mr. Gores 3 Strikes

    PMRC Allegations

    NAFTA

    An inconvienient Truth

    Our only debt is to Nature and What Is.
    Environmental Pragmatism Live and let live.
    As autumn turns to winter we can reflect upon the events of the past 6 months having reaped the political harvest. Traditionally we would be celebrating if it were a crop reaped from the land as our ancestors have always celebrated their harvests.
    In our reflections , as our ancestors surely did with their own reflections, we can look at how well our methods worked. Which lands seemed most fertile or suited to which crop. Which seed stocks seemed to thrive and which methods of cultivation seemed to produce more of what we valued most. After reflection comes the next sowing season we, as our ancestors did, will return to our fields to sow again and hope to reap a harvest even more bountiful than the last.
    Some years our harvest will disappoint and others they will surpass our expectations. Often interventions outside of our control determine that in spite of our ingenuity skill and dedicated application of all we know and all we have applied our harvest will disappoint, even fail and in those times we can but look forward to the unfolding of future seasons and the cycles of nature and try again always doing our best, and live off the surplus stores from better times.
    Human environments and what we call civilisation is a phenomenon of what the anthropologists call sedentary societies. Down the Millenia Urban systems and communities have adapted to a pace of life still affected by seasons and the food from the earth but not as intimately connected to it.
    Assumptions become ingrained which lack the immediate feed back that allows us to see when our crops need irrigation as rain has not fallen or where shade has fallen upon fields which need more sunshine. This metaphor for a disjoint between assumptions and feed back from the Soil or from the Coal Face or the factory floor or indeed from the food banks , soup kitchens, and unemployment lines denote a failure of communication.
    Information is emitting in both directions but the hearing receivers at either end of the line have been turned off.
    Many things can cause us as humans to stop listening, we all of us do not like to hear bad news or to hear information which challenges that which we wish to be true. Down the ages, it has always been this way as far as we can gather. In this susceptibility to tune into what we want to hear lies the heart of the art of being followed. Followers will follow those who others seem to believe in, sometimes the route prescribed works out, reputations are gained and eventually myths are born. At what point do we turn back though from a course which seems to be leading us up a wrong path we find it hard to convince ourselves often that what should have worked is not now working, after all, it has always worked in the past. 
    As humans, we know we can change our own conditions and of course we can do much to build a better life and better conditions for ourselves our families and our loved ones. In this, we develop a curiously human-centered world. A world where we place our species at the centre of things, this is called Anthropocentric. It is natural that we see ourselves as the object at the center of things it is our ground zero from where we need to measure our own progress and experience. It is a large jump from there, to believe then, that the cause of things is for our benefit or stems from us or is Anthropogenic. Our efforts are a small sum of all the work done in the world and we recycle What Is and harness What Is rather than create What Is.
    That is, our ability to build what we build is limited by the feed stock that preceded us and which will outlive our species as far as anything we can gather from our earnest and ingenious scientific inquiries and human industry.
    Man is his own false idol, and often times religions prohibit idolatry. Whether one is of religious faith or not there is a secular atheistic substitute for the prohibition of idolatry found in Islam, Christianity, and Judaism (the Abrahamic Faiths). In other faiths and in most cultures, the idea of Pride or Narcissism is warned against. The story of Narcissus is found in the Ovid, a myth arising from ancient pagan beliefs. For me, Narcissus is a story of a disconnected ego, estranged from a true sense of the individual singular self and of course a self that refuses to recognise Echo’s presence. Echo is the scorned suitor of Narcissus and Narcissus falls in love with his own image as a punishment for tormenting Echo , surely a story of pride and idolatry.
    When Man places himself at the centre of things this is dangerous and one instance where this is so is in the matter of Climate where rather than becoming God, man is caste with godlike omnipotence as the cause of Climate Change. Rather than examining man as one aspect of the whole complex system of What Is and testing the CO2 hypothesis as an aspect of man’s activities  as a singular part of a huge complex whole. The CO2 hypothesis becomes a necessary belief that the production of Carbon Dioxide through the burning of fossil fuels is causing Global Warming. This issue has become a matter of faith and to question CO2 emitted from human activity to be the prime driver of Climate change is to commit heresy to those who believe in the shorthand ´Climate Beliefs´.
    I am one of those heretics, I have read all I can find on the matter but remain unconvinced that the case has been made scientifically for Human emissions of CO2 being the primary cause and driver of climate change or Global Warming. I will not admit or submit to a faith in the IPCC, any government, corporation or indeed any Church or political ideology. I do have a belief and faith in God, a non-anthropomorphic god, that is a non-corporeal god as conjectured by Spinoza and by Maimonides and as we find in the Quran, old testament, and the Torah. My faith warns me and I believe for a very good reason not to worship false idols and Anthropogenic Global warning is I believe a false idol, placing man in the great What Is of existence, in a starring role well above his acting abilities.
    Science has a long history with Religion and I am a keen believer in the scientific method. The scientific method deals with physical things with things one can measure, deconstruct and test. With the scientific method one can  confirm or falsify propositions that relate to observations, science does not require faith, only evidence.
    Faith requires faith and faith is required when evidence is beyond the demonstration of mere men. Pridefulness it seems to me is a conceit to be wary of and as Religious, philosophical and folk teachings have been good enough for our ancestors they are also good enough for me. To accept the idea that Man and any individual man or woman is worthy of idolatry seems to me absurd. Some men and women are admirable even great. Humans are however all human and What Is, is always greater than any individual part of the whole of what it is only ever a part. What Is, is infinity and for me what is , is God.
    For an atheist what is, is whatever they want it to be, is it infinite for an atheist? I do not know, I am not an atheist and we are all at the center of our relationship with What Is, whatever What Is , is.
    The climate is a part of the whole What Is, we can not know why? What Is, is. That is something that none of us, be we great or be we humble , have any chance of making our servant. It is a ridiculous notion and a notion which mathematics has grappled with and more or less resigned itself to being insoluble, with various set theories and completeness hypothesis, just google Gödel and Tarski and ZF set theory, ultimately in an emergent reality we find that life really is not like Forest Gumps´ box of chocolates. What Is, is unbounded, or bounded at its own determination, not ours.
    Where is all this leading, my modest hypothesis is that we should resign from the false idolatry of ´´Climate Belief´´, and man’s omnipotence therein and concentrate on Environment . With, the environment we encounter real scientific possibilities. Here grounded in measurable outcomes we can and should stop Fracking because earthquake and water table pollution are provable and proven consequences.
    We can show the public health harms done by the burning of fossil fuels and also demonstrate the sustainable nature of alternative energy which stems from the great unknown of the ´´What Is and what will be´´.
    We reap as we sow and future harvests are wrapped up in our own industry and prudence they are also though ultimately the bounties of the eternal What Is.
    I believe we should also listen to the ancient wisdom against Usury and their promotion of usufruct. Such wisdom is found in the writings of Henry George. The watch-word for Economics is political , that it is part of the study of Political Economy, that is anthropogenic and a human construct. The Study of Science is Scientific and Political Science is a branch of Political Economy. I suppose what one would call Scientism is a belief based set of truth claims within ,  what Foucault calls,  a field of possible scientificity. There is a big difference in that Science is not an inquiry into man-made things so much as into natural phenomena which may then be harnessed into man-made technologies. Natural Sciences is perhaps the subject and word which I am groping towards, I think Quine says it best so I will allow myself just one quote and reference and it is this.
    ´´ As an empiricist, I continue to think of the conceptual scheme of science as a tool, ultimately, for predicting future experience in the light of past experience. Physical objects are conceptually imported into the situation as convenient intermediaries — not by definition in terms of experience, but simply as irreducible posits18b comparable, epistemologically, to the gods of Homer. Let me interject that for my part I do, qua lay physicist, believe in physical objects and not in Homer’s gods; and I consider it a scientific error to believe otherwise.´´
    Our only Debt is to Nature and nature is What Is. It is human nature to construct beliefs and to become indebted to the custodians of those beliefs.
    Belief and Faith are subtly different things. Basing our money on Debt is a source of many of the ills we face in the world. At the heart of our Anthropogenic delusions of grandeur, we submit to debts at usury enabling unnatural idols to dictate injustice justified in convoluted dogmas. Beliefs beget priests, priests demand churches, Churches require offerings and idols command tribute armies then  enforce an order  based upon the Strong ruling over the weak The strong becoming the idols gods and protectors of the weak and held as infallible. A prohibition of idolatry seeks to injunct the free and weak from falling into slavery. Those with the correct observance of the correct ideologies demonise the otherness of those who refuse to submit to alien cultural constructs all of who become more estranged from each other the further they stray from the truth of the What Is and what becomes. Straying that is, from the autonomous authority of Nature.
    One final word on ad hominem. When one attacks the arguer and not the argument the arguer is putting forward that is ad hominem. On Climate Belief I think that a new low in ad hominem argument was ushered into the public discourse setting an example in social media and mainstream media political discourse which is highly regrettable. Here the specter of exclusion or ridicule is used to silence dissent from the consensus view of the official view or the Settled scientific consensus. All of this terminology is from the basic course of Rhetoric any Sophist would have happily taken your payment for back in the days of classical antiquity. They are not terms consistent with or found within the precise language and notation of people involved in and faithful to what is called the scientific method which is devoutly Skeptical.

    When someone is alive and able to clarify or explain further views that have been ascribed to them we owe it to that person and ourselves  to seek out statements and written evidence which they can confirm or retract. We can also see what consequences flow from any acts or omission any person who is still alive and able to speak for themselves should be held responsible for. As we can test the claims made 10 years ago in an inconvenient truth we can also test claims made by Al gore for the North American Trade agreement , that be debated with Ross Perot in 1993. Politics is a matter of taste and opinion, political policies can be measured according to the success of  outcomes where an agreed measure for success is agreed upon and then accurately applied to the data taken as our standard measure. 

    In a sense political rhetoric and political policy making will become falsifiable,but who picks up the Tab  when theories prove to be incorrect. The people who voted for Trump and Voted for Brexit are the people who are picking up the Tab and yet still the Elitists conjecture and bathe in their feel good consensus having been proven wrong over and over by any common measure of Voter Experience. For those who vote for the status quo, we have to look into the psychology of Stockholm Syndrome and mass media manipulation. Here again, though, whilst  belief can be provoked in a captivated audience, the evidence where measurements are made and records kept will always be available to falsify the mistakenly held or fraudulently instilled belief of the credulous. Political Tipping points seem as hard to identify for consensus-based Elitist Political classes as it does for the high priests of Scientism. Self-fulfilling, self-referential and self-serving.Will President Elect Trump, our Narcissus, requite the message from the echoing masses both those who celebrate and those who protest his victory. The architects of the problems of the Working and Middle Classes and the Lumpen proletariat will be found in the corridors of power and the Green rooms of and boardrooms of Madison Avenue and Wall Street, not on the streets, and in the gutters. 
    So let’s talk about, Al Gore, The PMRC senate hearings on Explicit lyrics in music, the enactment of the NAFTA Trade Deal and The Film an inconvenient truth and Anthropogenic Climate Change. On Twisted Sister and the song Under the Blade,  we find that Mr. Gores Wife Tipper was mistaken, that the song was not about Sado-Masochism and Rape. Dee Snider the lyricist says ´´The only Sado-Masochism in the song is in the mind of Ms. Gore´´ and clearly, that of Mr. Gore.

     On NAFTA Ross Perot’s giant Sucking sound came to pass and is  set for an encore in TTP and TTIP . 

    On an Inconvenient truth, Polar bears are reported to be alive and well and thriving , not extinct. Much fuller and serious analysis making the intellectual accounting for Mr. Gores , internet inventing intellect, are plentiful and searchable on line. If you dare to look.

    3 strikes and you’re out. Mr. Gore is not alone in having been found wanting yet still rewarded for failure. Weapons of Mass destruction in Iraq anyone? The list of Corporate and Establishment failures are too many to number and the victims of the fraud, negligence, and abject indifference are everywhere. And the people who are victims of or know victims of the giant sucking sound , apparently are now motivated sufficiently to vote their complaint in sufficient numbers to overturn status quo establishment candidates.


    Mr. Trumps ´Climate beliefs ‘ have been questioned in some circles, and he is variously accused of all manner of vindictive viciousness.
    His policies and actions will be capable of review and oversight at the end of his first term and in 10 years and indeed 20 and 30 years time as Mr. Gores record and predictions can be reviewed as in the previous paragraph. Mr. Trump is a practical man, success is something that clearly matters to and drives Mr. Trump. Mr. Gore has done very well and has been handsomely  rewarded for what I would class as a record of failure. What schemes do we suppose Mr.Trump could concoct, without the support and complicity of the Establishment elites to enrich himself as extravagantly as Mr.Gore (in conjunction initially with the now defunct Enron), seems to have done, or the Clintons , The Bushes and the Blairs for that matter. Mr. Obama’s fortunes will be of some interest also upon his leaving the White house. Mr. Barroso’s departure from the beneficent bosom of the EU into the Bounties of Goldman Sachs shows the transatlantic extent of this Elitist revolving door. Again this has been going on for a long time.  

    I wonder if Mr.Trump will withdraw the US fatwah upon Mr. Assange. Pardon Mr. Edward Snowden and make good on his promise to stop the neo-liberal race to the bottom in The United States of America. His is not an easy Job and the challenges and opposing forces of vested interests should not be underestimated. Mr. Trump it seems knows something of being underestimated, I find it difficult to believe that many of those people are still, confronted with the evidence, underestimating him. Ad Hominem is a sign of not having an argument to field. Mr. Corbyn made the Best statement in my opinion in Congratulating president Elect Trump, whilst also standing ready to debate upon the Issues.

    Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn said an economic system that “isn’t working for most people” had been rejected.

    Corbyn said Mr Trump’s victory was “a rejection of a failed economic consensus and a governing elite that has been seen not to have listened”.He added: “And the public anger that has propelled Donald Trump to office has been reflected in political upheavals across the world.”The Labour leader also said Mr Trump’s campaign had been “nasty and divisive” and that he looked forward to “robust discussions” with the president-elect about climate change and the importance of the United Nations.’

    Mr Corbyns Brother Piers has something of his own to say on Climate Change and stands with people like Henrik Svensmark , who following that organ of populist journalism say ´Ít woz the sun wot won it”. 
    Piers Corbyn (Climate Change and Religion)


     
  • rogerglewis 8:38 am on November 8, 2016 Permalink | Reply  

    Wiki Leaks Pick, Best Podesta E-Mail Summary. (VIDEO) Must Watch #MAGA 

    Video: Best summary & background so far of WikiLeaks
    #Podesta emails https://t.co/lJtj3A5AR2


    //platform.twitter.com/widgets.js and from April

     
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